The Hidden Hand: Who Really Runs the Gulf’s Billions?

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The usually low-profile realm of Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds is experiencing significant upheaval, as leadership changes and strategic shifts ripple through some of the region’s largest investment entities.

This week, Qatar’s $510 billion fund appointed a new chief executive, Kuwait’s $1 trillion state-backed investor announced a leadership transition, and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) unveiled a broader strategic overhaul. Combined, these funds oversee nearly $4 trillion in assets, making them critical players in the global financial ecosystem. Changes in their strategies or leadership could have widespread implications for global markets.

A $4 Trillion Power Bloc

Sovereign wealth funds from Abu Dhabi, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar alone accounted for 40% of the value of deals by global state-backed investors in the first nine months of 2024, according to Global SWF data. These funds wield immense financial clout, and their moves are closely watched by market participants worldwide.

Navigating Complex Challenges

The new leadership at these funds will need to navigate a challenging global landscape. This includes preparing for a potential Donald Trump presidency, recalibrating strategies amid shifting relations between the West and China, and contending with growing competition among Gulf states themselves as they pursue economic diversification.

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority

ADIA, the Gulf region’s largest wealth fund with $993 billion in assets, is steering toward a more scientific investment approach under the leadership of Chairman Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan. The fund is expanding its in-house quantitative team to accelerate decision-making and bolster returns.

Recent changes include ramping up allocations to private credit and private equity, while collaborating with a broader range of hedge funds. Although overall exposure to hedge funds may not rise, ADIA’s strategic diversification signals a keen focus on enhancing its global portfolio.

In the first three quarters of 2024, ADIA, along with Abu Dhabi’s two other main funds, invested $36 billion, according to Global SWF. Beyond financial gains, ADIA’s sister fund ADQ has prioritized food security initiatives, exemplified by its stake in Louis Dreyfus Co. and its billions-worth investments in Egypt and Turkey.

Kuwait Investment Authority

The Kuwait Investment Authority (KIA), managing $969 billion in assets, is undergoing a leadership change as Ghanem Al-Ghenaiman steps down after a three-year tenure. Sheikh Saoud Salem Al-Sabah has taken over as managing director, bringing a career spanning investment management and stints at BlackRock Inc.

KIA’s strategy remains focused on artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, and semiconductors, with over half of its investments concentrated in the United States. However, the fund has faced criticism for lagging behind its Gulf neighbors in terms of deployed capital amid political challenges in Kuwait. Despite this, KIA reported double-digit returns last year, buoyed by a broad market rally.

Public Investment Fund

Saudi Arabia’s $925 billion Public Investment Fund (PIF), led by Governor Yasir Al Rumayyan, continues to drive Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s Vision 2030 economic diversification strategy. The fund’s investments span futuristic projects like the megacity Neom, global sports ventures including the PGA-LIV Golf merger, and burgeoning sectors such as gaming and technology.

PIF has also intensified domestic investments, led by Deputy Governor Yazeed Al Humied, who has urged foreign firms to establish deeper roots in Saudi Arabia. Meanwhile, Turqi Al Nowaiser oversees international investments, reflecting the fund’s dual focus on local and global opportunities.

Qatar Investment Authority

Qatar’s $510 billion Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) appointed Mohammed Al Sowaidi as CEO this week. Al Sowaidi, who previously led QIA’s Americas investment strategy, replaces Mansoor Al Mahmoud. His tenure comes at a time when Qatar’s burgeoning gas revenues are expected to significantly expand the fund’s financial clout.

In recent years, QIA has shifted its focus toward U.S. and Asian markets, investing in sectors like technology and healthcare. The fund is also emphasizing digitization and infrastructure, moving beyond its historical preference for trophy assets such as London’s Harrods.

Mubadala Investment Company

Though smaller in size, Abu Dhabi’s $302 billion Mubadala Investment Co. punches above its weight under CEO Khaldoon Al Mubarak. The fund has driven diversification away from oil through strategic investments in healthcare, finance, and technology.

Recent high-profile deals include a $24.2 billion deployment in sectors like AI and partnerships with Apollo Global Management and Ares Management Corp. to bolster its private credit business. Mubadala has also played a key role in taking Hollywood’s Endeavor private and fostering local AI investment through firms like G42 and MGX.

As leadership and strategy evolve across the Middle East’s sovereign wealth funds, their global influence remains formidable. These funds are not just financial powerhouses but strategic tools for reshaping economies and asserting geopolitical influence in an ever-changing world.